May 20, 2005

Harper success.

What difference a year makes.

May 14, 2004: Ipsos-Reid/CTV/Globe and Mail poll
Poll conducted: May 7-9 and May 11-13, 2004
Question asked: "Thinking of how you feel right now, if FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?"

LIB: 40
CPC: 24
NDP: 15
BQ: 11
OTH: 9

Note: A representative randomly selected sample of 2000 adult Canadians was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within plus or minus 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult Canadian population been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Canadian population according to the 2001 Census data.


Anybody that thinks Stephen Harper hasn't done an amazing job in building this party is probably a Liberal who is frightened of what the next year will bring.

To go from minimal support to one vote shy of defeating the government on a confidence vote within 12 months is a victory. The Conservatives must be congratulated for turning their backs on bribes by showning a solid, united caucus.

The Party that has been purged by these events, yet another baptism by fire, will show Canadians a stronger oppostion. Stephen Harper controls a coaltion much hardier than does Paul Martin and Harper doesn't even have the public purse to use as a whip.

The Liberal, Stronach, NDP coalition wouldn't survive the same test. As soon as the Gomery inquiry heated we saw as many as 4 Liberals ready to bolt. Now we'll see what a 10 month campaign brings.


UDATE:
Thought this was funny and an unknown quality of the man that didn't want to be PM
1978 - Harper
Harper graduates from Richview Collegiate in Etobicoke with the highest marks in his class. He moves to Alberta to work as a computer programmer in the oil industry before going to the University of Calgary. During his teens, he had briefly considered himself a "Trudeau Liberal."


This proves that he had a heart, however briefly it may have been.
If Ontario continues to find this guy scary perhaps they should take a collective Prozac.

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

I agree with your take on Harper's progress. However, considering the Liberal machine will be geared up against him now for awhile, and he will be without strong ammo, do you think his party will ignore this progress and give in to opinons questioning his leadership? I think it is likely, and not entirely unfounded.

5:40 PM  
Blogger Derek Richards said...

Yes I think it is likely, and very wrong.

The Liberals don't switch leaders every year. Two election cycles or 8-10 years.

We don't need another newbie for Canadians to take forever to warm up to.

It took Paul martin 12 years to unseat a sitting Prime Minister and he was at 60% in the polls and from central Canada and inside the damn party.

How much more difficult is it for Harper, and to be so close, so soon, is incredible. Jean Chretien had scandals too

7:49 AM  

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